THE 644 · JULY 2026 · #1 OF 644
Nikola Jokić
Denver Nuggets · C · age 30
Tier 1 — Franchise engines
97.8GRAVITY SCORE · 50 = LEAGUE-AVERAGE MINUTE
GRAVITY scores every player the same way: how good per minute, times how reliably he's on the floor. 60+ is a quality starter; 80+ is a franchise engine. How it works.
The impact numbers
The public stats behind the score, 2025–26 regular season (Basketball Reference).
65GamesRegular-season games played.
2,265MinutesRegular-season minutes played.
+14.2Box Plus/MinusPoints per 100 possessions he adds over an average player, estimated from the box score. 0 is average.
+10.1Offensive BPMThe offense half of Box Plus/Minus.
+4.1Defensive BPMThe defense half of Box Plus/Minus.
9.2VORPValue over a replacement-level player, from Box Plus/Minus and minutes.
.316Win Shares per 48Wins credited to him per 48 minutes played.
.670True shootingScoring efficiency that counts threes and free throws.
30.4%UsageShare of his team's possessions he finishes while on the floor.
+13.5On/offHis team's point margin per 100 possessions with him on the court minus with him off. Basketball Reference, raw.
2026 playoffs: 237 minutes, Box Plus/Minus +8.0.
2025–26 season box
34.8Minutes per game
27.7Points per game
12.9Rebounds per game
10.7Assists per game
1.4Steals per game
0.8Blocks per game
56.9%FG%Share of field-goal attempts made.
38.0%3P%Share of three-point attempts made.
83.1%FT%Share of free throws made.
Featured in
Open forecasts about him
J1Nikola Jokić stays #1 in The 644#2 near miss (graded as a miss)55%grades 2027-07
J2Jokić leads the NBA in Box Plus/Minusplayers with 1,500+ minutes, Basketball Reference60%grades 2027-04
J3Jokić wins the 2026–27 MVP25%grades 2027-06